Will China's next (fourth) aircraft carrier be nuclear-powered?

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Resolves YES or NO when a Chinese government body disseminates information that makes this question clear. We should not assume that this information will come any particular time, and it might be the case that it becomes an open secret, but resolution should still wait for official confirmation.

Would resolve NA if it became clear there will be no next aircraft carrier

Update 2025-12-08 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): - The creator will not bet on this market
- If China is simultaneously working on both nuclear and non-nuclear carriers, the market resolves based on whichever carrier is the fourth to be commissioned

This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.

#🇨🇳 China

#Military

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I am adding the clause that I will not bet, and I'm adding the clause that if this becomes ambiguous because China is simultaneously working on nuclear and non-nuclear carriers, it resolves to whichever carrier is the fourth to be commissioned.

The only country with a nuclear powered carrier other than the US is France and they only have one.

You can’t hide nuclear engines for satellites. The Chinese don’t have any nuclear powered naval ships as of today I don’t think. Even their submarines are diesel I believe.

@BTE As opposed to the US where 40 percent of our fleet is nuclear powered.

@BTE China has 22 nuclear powered submarines and zero surface ships.

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