Will Trump announce he is running for President in the 2028 election?
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Question is spanning a number of possible outcomes, including Trump winning in '24 and then seeking a third term.
He needs to say it. If his proxies float it and then he backs away from the idea it won't count.
I will not bet in this market.
Update 2025-07-30 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): For an announcement to count towards a YES resolution, it must be definitive.
Conditional statements (e.g., "I could," "I might," "I am thinking about") will not count.
Definitive statements (e.g., "I am running," "I will run") will count.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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@realDonaldTrump if what he said is conditional (I could, I might, I am thinking about, people want me to) it doesn't count. If it's definitve (I am running, I will run) it does count.
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