Trump approval rating 45% or higher on Fourth of July?
154
Ṁ35k
resolved Jul 4
Resolved
NO

Market will resolve to YES if 45.0% or higher of Americans approve of Donald Trump's performance dated July 4th, 2025 on Nate Silver's approval tracker located here at Silver Bulletin: https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin

Notes:

  • Data will be checked within 24 hours after market close.

  • If the approval dips below 45.0% at some point, but rises back above by July 4th, the market will still resolve to YES.

  • In the event that the Silver Bulletin tracker is no longer available or updated, the RCP tracker here will be used as a substitute: https://www.realclearpolling.com/polls/approval/donald-trump/approval-rating

#🇺🇸 US Politics
#Trump
#Trump's Second Term
#Republican Party
#🇺🇸 2024 US Presidential Election
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sold Ṁ517 NO

-

44.9% with 4 hours to go. Down to the wire. This is wild

filled a Ṁ200 NO at 1.0% order

today's approval, 44.85. the headline number on the post (very confusingly) hasn't been updated since the 1st

bought Ṁ500 NO

@lithp yep

bought Ṁ2,750 YES

Given the update at 45.2 today, I don’t really see why this should be less than 50%

Well now I’m confused because the write up says 45.2 but the graph says 44.9

oh I see the write up was last updated 7/1

bought Ṁ5 YES

Will be interesting to see what it reads tomorrow

Lmao every time I make one of these it really does come down to the absolute wire

@Jubs make more!

bought Ṁ2,250 NO

It’s 44.9% going into the long weekend

bought Ṁ250 NO from 63% to 62%

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