Will an EscaPADE Spacecraft reach Mars?
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13
Ṁ357
Dec 24
70%
chance

Resolves true if a single EscaPADE spacecraft reaches a highly elliptical orbit around Mars, as reported by NASA. Resolves false otherwise. A flyby where the spacecraft does not achieve orbit around Mars does not count.

https://nssdc.gsfc.nasa.gov/nmc/spacecraft/display.action?id=ESCAPADE

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This is AT LEAST a single spacecraft? Right. I assume they are only sending one of them now, but just to be sure.

How will this resolve if the mission does not launch?

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