This prediction is being used by me to provide the most valuable service I see to perform for the economy (the service of publically voting on where attention ought be directed) in order to earn the kind of money I see being valuable in the future (the respect and understanding of peers).
For the sake of humanity finding wisdom, please add and direct this market's attention to the wisdom you'd like to share. If you guys help me perform this service by also pointing to what you think is important, I will strive to maintain a function that rewards that intellectual labor with demonsterable and mechanistically interpretable receipts.
This prediction doesn't resolve and should be viewed only as an investment into concretizing your personal opinion on where our attention should have been directed in order to have a basis for others to spontaneously reward you as a result of your demonsterable participation.
Thanks
Update 2025-11-04 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Resolution timing: The market will resolve to market probability upon the creator's death. Until then, the market represents the creator's evolving beliefs and does not resolve.
1,000
3.00@StephenFowler28ac It does relate to something in the real world.
My beliefs are things in the real world that can be verified.
They are evolving as long as I'm alive.
I'm not sure why you demand a resolution criteria, but if that were essential, then my death should suffice. When I die, these will resolve to market.
This is a place where I am sharing my ever evolving beliefs to offer the individuals that would like to speculate on how my beliefs will evolve over time the opportunity to do so.
This is not a mandatory market. If you would not like to participate, you should probably just refrain from making comments.
It seems over bearing of you to demand that others not be allowed to play a game because you are not interested in playing the game.
Respectfully