Will There be a Civil War, Violent Revolution, or Insurgency in USA by 2030?
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Plus
33
Ṁ1695
2031
21%
chance

We've seen a drastic shift in the US politicalsphere from 2010's to 2020's. How drastic do you think things can go?

All baby boomers would have reached retirement age by around 2030.

This will resolve in "yes" if the US army is mobilized to deal with domestic terrorism or part of government. Resolves in "no" otherwise.

  • Update 2024-31-12 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Resolution Criteria Clarification:

    • Deployment of the US Army to deal with domestic terrorism or part of the government → Yes

    • Deployment of the National Guard to deal with political unrest or enforce martial law only if they are serving the federal government's dictatesYes

    • Otherwise → No

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Will this resolve Yes if the National Guard is deployed to deal with political unrest or to enforce martial law somewhere in the US?

@StephenStroup so long as they serve the dictates of the federal government, then yes. Otherwise, no.

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