Will any Manifest attendees be elected to public office in 2026 or earlier?

Basic

Ṁ568

2027

77%

chance

ALL

This question will resolve yes if at least 1 Manifest 2024 attendee is elected to a government position by the end of 2026. It will resolve no otherwise.

This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.

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How come this is so high? Are there any specific candidates bettors think will be elected?

I'm not sure. Simone Collins is running, but not sure who would actually stand a chance. But the question is so broad, someone could run for some local race and that would resolve this yes.

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