Who will the next SCOTUS Justice to leave the court be? | Manifold

Who will the next SCOTUS Justice to leave the court be?

Plus

38

Ṁ3833

2031

6%

John Roberts

38%

Clarence Thomas

36%

Samuel Alito

15%

Sonia Sotomayor

1.2%

Elena Kagan

1.1%

Neil Gorsuch

1.8%

Brett Kavanaugh

0.7%

Amy Coney Barrett

0.7%

Ketanji Brown Jackson

0%

A Justice not yet seated

If it's multiple justices simultaneously, this market will resolve to an per-person split of all correct answers (eg: if there were 11 Justices and all 11 left, it would resolve with each current member AND 2 shares on A Justice not yet seated

This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.

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1,000

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bought Ṁ1 YES

@mods I am incapable of buying any YES on any of the 0% options. I keep getting this screen (seen below), but only when I tap YES. I do not get this screen when I tap NO on those options. I think this is a bug.

Possibly a divide-by-zero error? 😆

looking into this btw

bought Ṁ1 YES

Amy Coney Barrett is YES-able now. The remaining 2 are still bugged.

Bug report is here: https://manifold.markets/JamesGrugett/bounty-for-reporting-manifold-bugs#4ja73hq22op

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Post a comment with a bug you came across and earn mana! Anything that affects the user experience counts! Even poor design, missing functionality, or specific complaints can count as long as they are things we can fix. Get M250 if you are first and it's something we want to fix. Get up to M5000 for finding an important bug! Being clear and concise in helping us reproduce the bug also can increase your bounty.

bought Ṁ1 YES

Issue resolved, I think. I was able to put Mana on YES for an option reporting as 0%.

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