Will the US Congress pass legislation creating a regulatory framework for stablecoins by the end of 2025?
Will the US Congress pass legislation creating a regulatory framework for stablecoins by the end of 2025?
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34%
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This question will resolve YES if the US Congress passes any legislation into law that creates or builds upon a regulatory framework for stablecoins in the US; otherwise the market resolves NO. Passing the GENIUS Act and/or STABLE Act will automatically count as YES. Executive Orders and agency rulemaking will not count. Regulation by enforcement, or lack thereof, will not count.
The market creator will not trade in this market. This question will not resolve to a percentage.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Win cash prizes for your predictions on our sweepstakes markets! Always free to play. No purchase necessary.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like trading still use Manifold to get reliable news.
How do I win cash prizes?
Manifold offers two market types: play money and sweepstakes.
All questions include a play money market which uses mana and can't be cashed out.
and can't be cashed out.Selected markets will have a sweepstakes toggle. These require sweepcash to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.
to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.Redeem your sweepcash won from markets at 1.00 → $1.00, minus a 5% fee.
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