By 2030, will China have reached GPU parity with the US?
Plus
19
Ṁ10072030
53%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
That is, in 2030, will Chinese chip companies offer commercial/enterprise GPUs for sale flops/$ performance within 20% of peak flops/$ of any commercial/enterprise GPU sold by non-Chinese companies?
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
Related questions
Related questions
Will China develop domestic GPU with comparable performance to NVIDIA H100 by 2026?
86% chance
If China invades Taiwan in 2023-2030, what will FLOP/s per dollar of top-ML GPUs be 10 years later?
Will China overtake the United States as the world's largest economy before the end of 2050?
55% chance
Will Nvidia be blocked from selling H20 GPUs to China at the end of May?
53% chance
Will China really surpass US GDP by the 2030s?
35% chance
By 2030 will China have reached AI flops/$ parity with the US?
37% chance
Conditional on no Doom by 2030, will China have reached GPU parity with the US?
26% chance
Will Nvidia still retain over 50% market share of PC gamer GPU usage by 2030
60% chance
Will China overtake the USA's economy by the end of 2030?
15% chance
Will Tesla overtake NVIDIA in market cap before 2030?
21% chance