Which Millennium Prize Problem will be solved next? (OLD MECHANISM) | Manifold

Which Millennium Prize Problem will be solved next? (OLD MECHANISM)

Basic

16

Ṁ407

Jun 23

7%Other

6%

Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer conjecture

18%

Hodge conjecture

48%

Navier–Stokes existence and smoothness

5%

P versus NP problem

11%

Riemann hypothesis

5%

Yang–Mills existence and mass gap

As judged by the Clay Math Institute.

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#Millennium Prize Problems

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I've decided to close this market, since it uses Manifold's old market mechanism. It'll still resolve as normal. Let me know if you want me to reopen it.

If you want to trade on this question, see this new market with fixed payouts:

Navier Stokes
Birch Swinnerton-Dyer
Hodge
Yang-mills
Riemann
P vs NP

that is the order I think it will go

I made a multiple-choice version of this question now that we have that market type available:

"Which Millennium Prize Problem will be solved next?"

Which Millennium Prize Problem will be solved next?

Terence Tao gave an interesting talk on an approach to Navier-Stokes a few years ago which made me think this was somewhat tractable.

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