Who will believe in AGI first, Manifold (Yes) or OpenAI (No)?
5
Ṁ15142030
47%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
Related questions
Related questions
Will OpenAI hint at [read description] or claim to have AGI by 2025 end?
21% chance
Which company or organization will be the first to develop strong AGI as defined by Manifold?
Which country will be the first to create the first true AGI as defined by Manifold?
If Manifold deems AGI to have been achieved, will Manifold also agree that the singularity has occurred?
34% chance
When Manifold's AGI countdown resolves YES, will Manifold users think that AGI really has been achieved?
51% chance
Manifold users agree first announced AGI is AGI?
23% chance
Do OpenAI leadership actually believe they could develop AGI?
83% chance
Will OpenAI claim that it has achieved AGI in 2025?
9% chance
When will manifold users think we have AGI? [Resolves to a majority yes in poll]
Will OpenAI hint at or claim to have AGI by 2025 end?
32% chance