When will SpaceX first reuse Starship 2nd stage?
Plus
11
Ṁ42232026
2%
Before 2025-04-01
12%
Before 2025-07-01
15%
Before 2025-08-01
20%
Before 2025-09-01
29%
Before 2025-10-01
43%
Before 2026-01-01
52%
Before 2026-04-01
58%
Before 2026-07-01
66%
Before 2026-10-01
72%
Before 2027-01-01
Resolved
NOBefore 2024-10-01
Resolved
NOBefore 2025-01-01
The market will resolve as soon as SpaceX manages to launch a Starship rocket, successfully lands it, and launches it for the second time. The second launch doesn't have to be fully successful, the market will resolve positively as long as the rocket leaves the pad.
I do not bet on my own questions.
Related questions:
/OlegEterevsky/when-will-spacex-successfully-land
/OlegEterevsky/when-will-spacex-successfully-land-o1e8o780ic
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Related questions
Related questions
When will SpaceX first reuse Superheavy (Starship 1st stage)?
By which flight will SpaceX successfully recover both Starship and its Booster?
When will SpaceX successfully land Starship for the first time?
When will Starship first launch with useful payload?
When will a non-SpaceX successfully reusable booster be first launched?
By when will first Starship be reused?
By when will SpaceX re-fly a space-flown Starship?
Will SpaceX re-fly a Starship upper stage in 2025? (Everyday Astronaut 2025 Predictions)
17% chance
Before which Starship flight will SpaceX first announce they will *attempt* at least one orbit?
Non-SpaceX reusable first stage by 2025?
83% chance