By when will first Starship be reused?
Plus
43
Ṁ58882031
62%
December 2026 or Earlier
46%
June 2026 or Earlier
29%
December 2025 or Earlier
13%
September 2025 or Earlier
5%
Never
4%
March 2025 or Earlier
4%
June 2025 or Earlier
Resolves to Never if No Starship is Reused by 2030, unless there are concrete plans indicating plans to do so in very near future(~2 years), in which case the market could be extended with additional options.
Starship Reusability means both ship and booster have to be successfully flown once before.
Does not count if only one of them is reused.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Sort by:
reposted
bet on when starship will be reused
Related questions
Related questions
When will Starship first launch with useful payload?
When will Starship complete an orbit?
By when will a second Starship / Super Heavy launch tower be operational?
When will SpaceX first reuse Superheavy (Starship 1st stage)?
When will Starship first attempt propellant transfer from one ship to another in orbit?
Will Starship launch to orbit at least 7 times before the end of 2025?
46% chance
When will Starship first deploy a Starlink satellite to orbit?
Will Starship launch to orbit at least 6 times before the end of 2025?
53% chance
When will SpaceX first reuse Starship 2nd stage?
By when will SpaceX re-fly a space-flown Starship?