How long will Yuki Tsunoda last in Red Bull before being replaced?
12
Ṁ954
Dec 31
51%
One full season (2025)
17%
More than two seasons
8%
3-5 races
4%
6-10 races
4%
One and a half seasons
4%
Other
4%
Less than 3 races
3%
11-15 races
3%
Two full seasons
1%
Just one race

Resolution Criteria

This market resolves to the option that correctly indicates how long Yuki Tsunoda remains as a Red Bull Racing driver before being replaced. The market will resolve based on official team announcements or reliable Formula 1 news sources. The duration is measured from Tsunoda's first race with Red Bull until his last race before being replaced.

Background

Yuki Tsunoda is reportedly set to replace Liam Lawson at Red Bull Racing, potentially starting from the Japanese Grand Prix. This move comes after Lawson's early-season struggles. Tsunoda has been racing in Formula 1 since 2021, previously with AlphaTauri/RB.

Red Bull Racing is known for making driver changes when performance doesn't meet expectations. The team is seeking to improve its competitiveness for the remainder of the season, putting immediate pressure on Tsunoda to perform well.

Honda's financial backing and interest in seeing a Japanese driver in a top team may provide some additional support for Tsunoda's position, but ultimately his performance will be the deciding factor in how long he remains with the team.

Considerations

Driver changes in Formula 1 can happen unexpectedly due to performance issues, contractual disputes, or strategic team decisions. Red Bull in particular has a history of making mid-season driver changes when they feel it's necessary for team performance.

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Will resolutions take until the whole market can be resolved (2027), or will each timeline resolve once its time has passed?

What exactly does "one and a half seasons" mean?

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