Which users will attend Manifest 2025?
97
Ṁ21k
2026
99.2%
99%
Dylan Matthews - @DylanMatthews
99%
Noah Smith (Noahpinion)
99%
Noa Nabeshima - @NoaNabeshima
99%
nik - @nikthink
99%
@akarlin - Anatoly Karlin (powerfultakes on Twitter)
98.8%
Mikhail Samin - @ms
98%
Roon
97%
Aaron Silverbook
97%
David Holt – @IDrawCharts
96%
Laura Deming
94%
N.C. Young - @NcyRocks
94%
Allison Duettmann - @AllisonDuettmann
93%
Luana Lopes Lara
87%
Daniel Filan - @DanielFilan
85%
Jim Ausman - @JimAusman

Manifest 2025 is going to be in Berkeley from June 6th to June 8th!

A name resolves Yes if they attend, No if they don't attend, and N/A if I can't verify whether they attended or not. If Manifest 2025 does not occur by the end of 2025, everything will resolve N/A.

Let's try to keep it to people with Manifold accounts only for this market, to keep things plausible and to make resolution easier to verify.

If you want some insider info, check the Manifest Payments page to see who bought tickets last year.

Get
Ṁ1,000
and
S3.00
Sort by:

Someone literally uploaded a picture of Noah at manifest to wikipedia before this resolved yet. So much for prediction markets being efficient xd.

You can resolve me to Yes; was just physically present at kickoff.

Prime opportunity to troll the front page of https://manifest.is considering how illiquid these answers are

When many of the manifolders gather in the groupings big like this, it's usually either for sex, food or sometimes the gambling. This is the true way to futurarchy.

bought Ṁ150 NO

@CryptoNeoLiberalist I'll report it if I see

it

bought Ṁ10 NO

I'm not coming to Manifest. You can resolve it no.

@redcathode not sure if these serve different purposes or if this was an unintentional duplicate - seems like the former, since all of the listings here are of the Firstname Lastname variety

@redcathode good catch. unfortunately looks like this market is a duplicate of Chris' - he made his in June last year.

@Gabrielle any alpha to share?

bought Ṁ30 YES

@ian I'm probably attending, and have asked for my Manifold mod ticket, but have yet to buy plane tickets to physically get there.

© Manifold Markets, Inc.Terms + Mana-only TermsPrivacyRules