New Pope announced before May 18?
32
Ṁ1174May 18
75%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Pope Francis passed away on April 21, 2025, initiating the process to elect his successor. According to Vatican protocols, a conclave is expected to begin between 16 and 21 days after the pope's death, suggesting a start date between May 7 and May 12, 2025. This market resolves to 'Yes' if a new pope is elected before May 18, 2025, and 'No' otherwise. Resolution will be based on official Vatican announcements.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
Related questions
Related questions
Who will be the next Pope?
What names will the next Pope take?
When will the next Pope be elected?
-
⛪️ Which day of the conclave will the next Pope be announced?
Will the next Pope be?
99% chance
What country will the new Pope visit first?
Depending on who the next Pope is, will he be based?
Next Pope is liberal?
36% chance
In which month of 2025 new pope will be elected?
Pope Francis resurrected from the dead by May?
0% chance