NFL Week 2 - Prop Bets
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Ṁ62k
in 20 hours
55%
Team change in top 5 super bowl favorites by 9/17 (Bills, Ravens, Eagles, Packers, Chiefs))*
45%
MVP Favorite Changes by 9/17 (Currently Josh Allen)
43%
A Starting QB gets a likely Season Ending Injury
36%
AFC or NFC Offensive Player of the Week is a Running Back
8%
Fat Guy Touchdown*
8%
Hip Drop Tackle penalty called during any game
7%
A lateral more than a yard past the line of scrimmage (non-last play of the game)
Resolved
YES
At Least 4 Favored Teams Lose
Resolved
YES
Punt or Kick Return Touchdown
Resolved
YES
Taylor Swift in Attendance to Any Game
Resolved
YES
Quarterback throws at least 4 Touchdowns in a game
Resolved
YES
Score as time expires in the 4th Quarter/OT
Resolved
YES
Any team scores 24+ points before halftime
Resolved
YES
Any player throws for more than 350 yards and loses
Resolved
YES
Any team scores 40+ points
Resolved
YES
35% or higher Kick Return rate
Resolved
YES
Bird teams finish with a better record than Cat teams (Win %)
Resolved
YES
Any 400 yard passer
Resolved
YES
At least one missed kicking extra point attempt
Resolved
YES
A prime number of total missed field goals + extra points

2025-26 NFL Season - Week Two

*** Asterisk Prop Clarifications

  • At Least 4 Favored Teams Lose

    • Favorite based on DraftKings closing line

  • Any Double Digit Underdog Wins

    • Based on closing DraftKings lines

  • A Starting QB gets a likely Season Ending Injury

    • If consensus the next week is that the player will be out for the season

    • Will lean towards "YES" (i.e. if the vibe is the player is 75/25 I will resolve YES)

    • Based on my subjective opinion (but feel free to give input)

  • Fake Punt Attempt

    • If a team lines up in punt formation and then snaps the ball with the intention to gain the first down instead of punting

  • Quarterback gets benched in the middle of a game

    • The quarterback that started the game is removed due to neither an injury, nor due to a blowout

    • Subjective judgement will be used, but generally these fulfilling these three criteria will be required for 99% of cases

      • No Injury

      • If it is the 4th quarter then the game has to be within 16 points (2 possessions)

      • Its not clear that the QB removed from the game will start the next game

  • Any Double Digit Underdog Wins

    • Resolves NO if there are no Double Digit Underdogs

  • Fat Guy Touchdown

    • A player that would be considered fat scores a TD

    • All O-linemen, and DTs scoring would count (regardless of how)

      • Reserve the right for other positions if they are fat enough (if you want, ask me a player beforehand)

  • Highest Scoring Game of the Season (so far)

    • Resolves at 50% for ties, weighted (so if there are two games tied for the top already, and this week adds another, it would resolve at 33%)

  • A 4th and 11+ is converted

    • First downs as the result of penalties do not count

    • This logic applies similar to any other prop like this

      • "(no plays)" in the box score do not count as a play

  • Top 5 Super Bowl favorites

    • If there is a tie for 5th (or like 4-6th), this will resolve at 50%

  • Will a championship belt change teams?

  • In general, lines that use betting lines or props will rely on the DraftKings odds

Add your own props related to Week Two (if it is super specific be prepared to help me find an answer). Answers should be able to be resolved by about a Week after Week Two finishes, but not later than that.

All Weeks:

Other Week 2 Markets:

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FWIW if there ends up being a tie (DraftKings is the reference sports book), this resolves at 50% (or 1/3 if there were 3 tied for first).

bought Ṁ100 NO

Leaving a couple open if people can find examples by tomorrow

@StopPunting can I get clarification on the letter of alphabet? Does it include QBs who throw a TD pass or only receiver/running back, etc…

@MRME oh sorry! Thought I responded, no, passers do not count (as generally they don't count unless specified passing TDs). For this week their at least wasn't an X (Bo Nix did throw a TD, but didn't score one as defined here). I'll make sure to add a clarification though for the future.

bought Ṁ450 NO

@StopPunting Can't find one. Bucs closest at 2:04

bought Ṁ541 YES

@StopPunting Texans/Bucs

bought Ṁ542 NO

I see 3/7

bought Ṁ726 YES

probably shouldn't have left this one from last year lmao

@StopPunting sorry for the pings this is a fun market. For the "one letter of the alphabet" - does the name of the quarterback who throws a passing touchdown count as well or only the receiver/rusher/etc...?

bought Ṁ210 YES

@StopPunting 3 Missed FGs or Extra Points

Commanders v Packers had exactly 3 missed FGs combined per box score. Mana deployed.

3 Months is the announcement for Burrow. Per the rules, still my decision, but also made this market out of curiosity.

bought Ṁ30 YES

Steelers, Dolphins, Broncos, and Vikings all lost. So can't the 4 favored close? Or do I have the wrong lines from somewhere?

bought Ṁ650 YES

You're right, I'll let you bet it up before closing if you are the first to see this comment haha

bought Ṁ40 YES

@StopPunting thanks - done. I’ve used up all my mana lol

reposted

A week late, but NFL Prop bets are back for the 2025 NFL season!!!

@StopPunting was wondering if these markets would be back, thanks!

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