This market will resolve YES if reliable sources aligned with global health and charities report that PEPFAR-funded organizations are once again receiving the money they were promised.
Resolves NO if the government continues breaking the law in order to kill millions of people.
Update 2025-03-31 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): End of March Time Definition:
Cutoff Time: The market will use the moment when it is no longer March anywhere, specifically at midnight on April 1 (UTC-12).
Global Standard: This endpoint emphasizes a global time standard for all regions, ensuring that the resolution is determined when March has ended worldwide.
Update 2025-03-31 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Resolution Clarification:
The market will resolve as YES if PEPFAR-funded organizations have received at least 85% of the promised payments before April 1 (using the UTC-12 cutoff).
Payment receipt is determined by reliable sources confirming that the funds have been disbursed prior to the cutoff time.
1,000
3.00I will say that the resolution is at least somewhat in doubt: the department of state claims to have processed 161 payments by March 28th, with 314 payments remaining. That isn't absolutely nothing.
@TiredCliche alas, US govt is no longer "reliable sources aligned with global health and charities".
@MartinRandall It's true, I'm just saying that this is directionally better than the first few weeks where the lawyers were not even pretending to comply!
@TiredCliche also looks like there are over 6,000 payments remaining to process, according to that source.
Also, is that lawsuit only about payment for work already completed?
@JamesBaker3 The line is if they receive the money they were promised before April 1, I'll be generous and say 85% of promised payments.
@BiologyTranslated End of March means April at midnight, UTC-12, at which time it is no longer March anywhere in the world. I think a market discussing global funding deserves a globalist time endpoint.