Will a rogue AI system cause >$1B USD in damage in a single incident before 2030? | Manifold

Will a rogue AI system cause >$1B USD in damage in a single incident before 2030?

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It would be nice with a concrete definition of 'rogue AI'.

Something like "an AI pursuing harmful goals against the will of the deployers". Or does it have to involve loss of control over the AI?

How is this different from simply asking "Will an AI system cause >$1B USD in damage in a single incident before 2030?"

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