Will inflation in the US rise above 10% at some point during the second Trump presidency?
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24%
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Resolution will be based on CPI-U, specifically the unadjusted percent change of 'All items' in the Bureau of Labor Statistics news releases for each individual rolling 12 month period beginning from the 12 months ended February 2025. (e.g. if April 2024 to April 2025 shows higher than 10%, then this market resolves YES, same with May 2024 to May 2025, etc. all the way through ending at Jan 2028 to Jan 2029).
example here: https://www.bls.gov/news.release/cpi.t01.htm
If the US Bureau of Labor Statistics doesn't make it through this period unscathed or without political pressure being applied to it, alternative sources will be found.
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