Will GPT-4-Turbo be ranked in the top 20 on the Chatbot Arena Leaderboard at the end of 2025?
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To resolve this, I will look at the huggingface Chatbot Arena Leaderboad and see if GPT-4-Turbo's ELO is within the top 20. If it is, this market resolves as yes. If not, then no.
https://huggingface.co/spaces/lmsys/chatbot-arena-leaderboard
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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