When, if at all, will JD Vance become president?
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49
Ṁ7510
2033
17%
He will become president during the 2025-2029 term.
24%
He will be elected president in the 2028 election.
9%
He will be elected president in the 2032 election.
50%
He will not become president at all (as of the 2032 election.)

  • Update 2025-12-01 (PST): - The question refers to the first time JD Vance becomes president. (AI summary of creator comment)

  • Update 2025-11-02 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): If JD Vance is elected president but does not take office for any reason, the market will resolve to "He will not become president at all (as of the 2032 election)."

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What happens if he is elected but does not take office for some reason?

@EvanDaniel That'd resolve to "He will not become president at all (as of the 2032 election)."

Is the question, "when will Vance first become president?" In principle, he could become president more than once.

bought Ṁ200 NO

@ZaneMiller What happens if he wins in November 2028 and then Trump, say, dies in December 2028 so that Vance becomes president. I assume it resolves to "during the term"?

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