Will Trump claim his 2025 inauguration crowd was the largest ever?
Basic
16
Ṁ2056
Feb 1
31%
chance
  • Resolves YES if Trump claims that the crowd attending his 2025 inauguration (in person) is the largest for any inauguration in United States history.

  • The statement can be verbal or written but it must be public in some form—X, TruthSocial, campaign rally, or etc all count, but reports on what he said in private do not count.

  • Note that this is about the size of the inauguration crowd (i.e. physically there in person). If Trump claims that his inauguration was the "most watched ever", that also includes TV viewers and it's irrelevant for this market.

  • Resolves NO if there has been no public statement by end of January.

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bought Ṁ100 NO

This seems virtually impossible now!

bought Ṁ100 NO

I half expect him to still claim it's the second largest, with only the crowd in 2016 being larger. 😂

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