Will all 7 Millennium Problems be solved by 2040? | Manifold

Will all 7 Millennium Problems be solved by 2040?

Plus

86

Ṁ17k

2039

24%

chance

1D

1W

1M

ALL

https://www.claymath.org/millennium-problems

1 was solved - the Poincare conjecture - by Grigori Perelman. There are 6 remaining.

There are 17ish years left before this market closes.

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bought Ṁ300 NO

P vs NP alone makes this functionally impossible

opened a Ṁ1,000 NO at 33% order

@traders I've put some NO limit orders.

sbaresboughtṀ1,000NO

@firstuserhere Mana where my mouth is.

So people don't think a superintelligence will be able so solve all the Millennium problems? Or are the markets just mispriced.

@TimothyCurrie I think your linked market is laughably overpriced and I have guesses on why.

opened a Ṁ50 NO at 30% order

@justifieduseofFallibilism Super intelligence is an extremely vague term and there's no resolution criteria.

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