Will Manifold’s and Polymarket’s “Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire by April 19th” markets resolve identically? | Manifold

Will Manifold’s and Polymarket’s “Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire by April 19th” markets resolve identically?

22

Ṁ3035

in 18 hours

99.3%

chance

1D

1W

1M

ALL

Resolves YES iff both Bayesian’s market and this Polymarket resolve identically (either both yes or both no).

This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.

#🇺🇦🇷🇺 Ukraine-Russia war

Get

1,000

and

3.00

Sort by:

Bayesian’s market has resolved no, waiting for UMA dispute resolution now

Related questions

If Ukraine and Russia agree to a ceasefire, will it last the agreed duration?

If there is a second Peace Summit, will the Russia-Ukraine War end within 3 months afterward?

If Russia secures a substantively pro-Russian ceasefire agreement with Ukraine, what will be the causes? [add responses]

Will Russia and Ukraine announce a ceasefire with an intended duration of at least 28 days before October 1st, 2025?

When will the final resolved market on Manifold be resolved?

Related questions

If Ukraine and Russia agree to a ceasefire, will it last the agreed duration?

Will Russia and Ukraine announce a ceasefire with an intended duration of at least 28 days before October 1st, 2025?

If there is a second Peace Summit, will the Russia-Ukraine War end within 3 months afterward?

When will the final resolved market on Manifold be resolved?

If Russia secures a substantively pro-Russian ceasefire agreement with Ukraine, what will be the causes? [add responses]

© Manifold Markets, Inc.•Terms + Mana-only Terms•Privacy•Rules