Will any Manifold user be imprisoned in CECOT or a similar prison after deportation from the US during Trump's 2nd term?
18
Ṁ60622029
14%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
To resolve YES, there must be credible reports that:
1) the proposed individual traded on Manifold at least once;
2) the proposed individual has been deported from the US;
3) the proposed individual is in CECOT or a prison with a similarly poor human rights record outside of the US.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
Sort by:
Related questions
Related questions
What will be the outcome of the saga around the deportation of Kilmar Armando Abrego Garcia during the 2nd Trump term?
Will the Trump administration deport a US citizen to El Salvador this year?
47% chance
Will the US deport an American citizen before 2029?
80% chance
Will the US knowingly deport at least one citizen to El Salvador for imprisonment by EOY2025?
46% chance
Will at least one Thiel Fellow be deported out of the US by EOY2028?
48% chance
Will Gitmo or Cecot transition from concentration camps to full blown extermination camps by the 2028 US election?
16% chance
Will at least one @_TheResidency fellow be deported out of the US by EOY2028?
50% chance
Will the US have to build Trump a personal prison like Pablo Escobar if he is convicted?
9% chance
Will the Trump administration deport a natural born US citizen by the end of his second term?
63% chance
Will a Trump administration imprison a journalist, a politician, or an "enemy of the state" before the 2026 midterms?
76% chance