On which days will a player be eliminated from FOLDED?

Ṁ4441

Aug 5

44%

Day 16 (4 August 2025)

24%

Day 17 (5 August 2025)

33%

Day 18 (6 August 2025)

34%

Day 19 (7 August 2025)

30%

Day 20 (8 August 2025)

34%

Day 21 (9 August 2025)

34%

Day 22 (10 August 2025)

34%

Day 23 (11 August 2025)

34%

Day 24 (12 August 2025)

34%

Day 25 (13 August 2025)

34%

Day 26 (14 August 2025)

34%

Day 27 (15 August 2025)

29%

Day 28 (16 August 2025)

29%

Day 29 (17 August 2025)

29%

Day 30 (18 August 2025)

24%

Day 31 (19 August 2025)

24%

Day 32 (20 August 2025)

28%

Day 33 (21 August 2025)

28%

Day 34 (22 August 2025)

28%

Day 35 (23 August 2025)

For each option:
Resolves YES if at least one player fails to advance from the listed day of FOLDED. If no one is eliminated that day, resolves NO. If FOLDED ends before the listed day, it also resolves NO.

I will periodically add days to this market if the experiment continues for long enough.

This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.

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what if someone on a day gets eliminated but voted back in???

@evan

@121 Hmm, I'm not sure. Will think about this

@121 I'm counting it.

bought Ṁ50 YES

@evan I think that's the right call since you literally couldn't check in for a day

@evan Everyone has checked in today

sold Ṁ0 YES

@SimonWestlake unfortunate, another day wasted without any progress

no one will be eliminated if the difficulty is not ramped up.

@evan Everyone's checked in today (except for Bandors who has never checked in and isn't a real player).

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