Will @evan be late to pay back a loan?
36
Ṁ31k
2027
1.7%
chance

This market is meant to gauge whether or not I can be trusted to pay back my loans on time.

This market will resolve YES if I am ever late to pay back an agreed-upon mana loan. This market will resolve NO when I don't owe anybody mana for 90 consecutive days.

Current outstanding loans:

Total: Ṁ0

Total loans previously paid off on time: Ṁ355,186

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Why hasn't this been resolved no?

@Velaris This is the notable part from the description.

This market will resolve NO when I don't owe anybody mana for 90 consecutive days.

Just confirming, the loans were properly paid with non-counterfeit mana, correct?

The loan ledger is really true? It wasn't faked on Evan's way out the door? There really are no loans outstanding?

I dug into the description update history. The outstanding loans on the version prior to this last "clean slate" update were paid back and are still properly honored even with Manifold's rollback in play.

Those loans check out and were properly repaid. 👍

opened a Ṁ50 NO at 1.0% order

Question is: do we have to wait for the 90 days for this to resolve NO or is account deletion sufficient?

@Fion However the gavel falls, this market will be used for future precident in such matters.

I redacting this because mods will fine me

@121

rip in peace 🙏

@TheAllMemeingEye unbanned gg

@evan is gone

bought Ṁ750 NO

@JeromeHPowell AND without outstanding loans!

@Bayesian gg...?

@JeromeHPowell he evan-ished

@TheAllMemeingEye why did he dump all of his mana into a ton of markets to bring down the possibility, I don’t really get it

@JeromeHPowell I gather that he is rage quitting over his temporary ban for making a popular unlinked multi choice market for a mutually exclusive binary event in order to get double the trader bonuses, one of the markets he dumped into was betting down the manifold leadership approval rating

@TheAllMemeingEye ahh, thanks for clarifying

@TheAllMemeingEye why did he impersonate @EvanDaniel

@TheAllMemeingEye sorry, I’m not fully following

@JeromeHPowell can't be certain, presumably he wanted to get back at them for the ban, and maybe enjoy confusing people

august 9...

@evan You're riding a fine line between bravery and foolishness.

Holy heck. He did it. Now it's a question of if he will cash in, or double-or-nothing.

How do you get such huge loans with such a low net worth (in proportion to the loans) ?

@Velaris I just ask around, there are lots of Manifold users with a lot of extra mana they're not planning to spend who are willing to give out loans at a relatively low interest rate. The debt just adds up over time but will eventually be paid off entirely

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