What will be mentioned in RFK Jr's HHS report on the cause autism, if released in September?
16
Ṁ1101
Sep 30
87%
Environmental Toxins
75%
Vaccines
66%
Synthetic Food Dyes
63%
Pharmaceuticals
60%
Causes not listed or unknown
55%
Birth Weight
50%
Viral/Bacterial Infections
32%
Genetics

U.S. health secretary Robert F. Kennedy Jr. has stated that a report on the cause of the ongoing "autism epidemic" in the U.S. will be released in September 2025.

This market will resolve according to potential causes identified in the report, regardless of scientific support, if the report is released during September 2025.

I will not bet on this market. Anyone can add answers.

https://www.reuters.com/business/healthcare-pharmaceuticals/health-secretary-kennedy-says-us-will-know-cause-autism-epidemic-by-september-2025-04-10/

  • Update 2025-04-18 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Resolution Criteria Clarification:

    • The market will resolve based on the factors that the report explicitly identifies as causative or contributory.

    • Merely mentioning a potential cause without attributing it as causative/contributory will not be used for resolution.

#🇺🇸 US Politics
#Science
#Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
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Does this refer to all potential causes that the report considers, or just all potential causes that it concludes are likely? e.g. if the report investigates synthetic food dyes and comes to the conclusion that they are not relevant to autism, how does "synthetic food dyes" resolve?

@ZaneMiller Thanks for pointing this out, my intention was for it to resolve according to the factors that the report identifies as causative/contributory, rather than just what is mentioned.

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