
Will AGI figure out a quantilizer of which people roughly continued most to its global computation?
Basic
2
Ṁ302060
30%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
Sort by:
@stochasticcockatoo Can you please extend this market? I see you have been active. So asking before I extend it or another mod.
@SirCryptomind I think the market should be extended instead since there isn't (as far as I can tell) an unambiguous "AGI" yet.
@cockathiel is this specifically by the end of the year, or just in general?
(ChatGPT says it doesn't know what kind of people contributed to its training data.)
Related questions
Related questions
Will we get AGI before 2047?
85% chance
Will AGI be achieved in the next 5 years?
51% chance
Will we get AGI before 2044?
83% chance
Will we get AGI before 2041?
81% chance
Will we get AGI before 2031?
62% chance
Will we get AGI before 2046?
85% chance
Will we reach "weak AGI" by the end of 2025?
27% chance
Will we have an AGI as smart as a "generally educated human" by the end of 2025?
40% chance
Will AI come up with a 99.99 percentile quintilizer for most perceptive people in the planet by 2030
41% chance
Is slowing down AGI good for AI safety? [resolves to poll]
83% chance