Will real money political prediction markets be legal before 2029 conditional on who wins the presidential election?
Basic
5
αΉ908Jan 1
45%
Republican President / Legal
53%
Republican President / No Change
1.0%
Democrat President / Legal
1.0%
Democrat President / No Change
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Related questions
Related questions
Will real money prediction markets be legal in the US before 2028?
52% chance
Will real money prediction markets become legal in the US by the end of 2025?
52% chance
If Trump wins in 2024, will real money political prediction markets be legal before 2029?
36% chance
Will the CFTC permit real-money prediction markets on the 2028 US Presidential Election?
67% chance
Will prediction markets become mainstream by 2028?
60% chance
Real money political prediction markets will be legal in the US for a month before 2030
80% chance
Will Trump legalize prediction markets?
66% chance
Will Manifold be more accurate than Polymarket in forecasting the 2024 election?
45% chance
Before 2028, will a sovereign state directly manipulate a real-money prediction market?
56% chance
Will prediction markets be formally integrated into a government's political system before 2040? πποΈβοΈπ
30% chance