This description was in-part generated by an LLM.

Resolution Criteria

Wikipedia - Deportation of Kilmar Ábrego García

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Deportation_of_Kilmar_%C3%81brego_Garc%C3%ADa

This market resolves to YES if Kilmar Ábrego García appears in person with any U.S. presidential candidate before the end of the 2028 U.S. presidential election. For purposes of this market, the end of the election is defined as 12 noon on Wednesday, 8 November 2028 (Eastern Time). “Appear publicly” is defined as appearing in the same photo wherein both individuals are identifiable.

The market resolves to NO if Ábrego García does not appear with any presidential candidate at a campaign event before the election.

Background

Kilmar Ábrego García is a Salvadoran immigrant who was mistakenly deported and subsequently imprisoned in El Salvador’s maximum security prison, CECOT. The case gained significant attention after he was deported in March 2025. In April 2025, the Trump administration asked the Supreme Court to block an order to return Ábrego García to the United States. His case has highlighted issues within the U.S. immigration system and has become a focal point in discussions about immigration policy.

As of market creation on 8 April 2025, it is uncertain whether or not Ábrego García will return to the United States, let alone appear with any presidential candidates.

• Update 2025-04-17 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Clarification:

  • The candidate must be an active presidential candidate at the time of appearing together.

  • Previously documented appearances (e.g., photographs taken before the candidate officially runs) will not count. Only appearances together after the candidate has declared and while actively campaigning, but before the end of the campaign, resolve to YES.