Will Manifold Markets have a manifold market?
4
Ṁ367
2028
35%
chance

"a manifold market" refers to a market with at least 670 traders (around top 200 markets?) that has the word "manifold(s)" in the title that isn't referring to Manifold Markets the prediction platform (or anything related to it like its community, discord, leadership, servers, etc.).

Examples of titles that would qualify are:

  • this market's title

  • "Will Manifold (https://www.manifold.ai/) IPO ever?"

  • "Will Surface Subgroup Conjecture about the group of closed irreducible 3-manifolds be proved by AI?"

Examples of titles that wouldn't qualify are:

Resolves NO at the end of 2027 if this doesn't happen.

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i will not bet on this market

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