Who will win the 2028 US presidential elections?
Basic
26
Ṁ10k2028
25%
JD Vance
25%
9%
Gavin Newsom
5%
Donald Trump
5%
Josh Shapiro
4%
AOC
3%
Ron DeSantis
2%
Other candidate with Trump as their last name
2%
Cory Booker
2%
Kamala Harris
2%
Nikki Haley
1.6%
Barack Obama
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 2029) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated.
Anyone that adds a new candidate and bets for them will get a Ṁ10 subsidy for their contribution of new information and potentially new candidates.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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