What will XAI & X do in 2025?

Ṁ1671

Dec 31

90%

Build more datacenters

80%

Add prediction markets into X

72%

Significantly improve X feed algorithm

50%

Publicly advocate for AI safety

45%

Relase a model that places in the top 5 on the OpenRouter monthly rankings

42%

Release the weights of Grok 2 (not mini)

27%

Release model that is praised for it's ability to predict future

14%

Merge/be acquired/acquire/found another Elon's company

Update 2025-06-07 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): For the answer 'Add prediction markets into X' to resolve YES, the condition is that one must be able to bet directly on X.

This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.

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For any new cool answers created (different from the ones listed, about something interesting and reasonably likely) about X or XAI I'll personally send 300 mana to the creator!

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bought Ṁ250 YES

@patrik does this resolve YES? https://x.com/Polymarket/status/1931001915153797583

@Fynn No because there still no prediction markets on X.

@patrik What are the conditions that you want to be met?

@Fynn One should be able to bet directly on X

@Fynn Honestly don't find this question very interesting since even if they do, there are already much better models out there. But am willing to be convinced otherwise.

@patrik I think it is interesting from a different perspective: Elon Musk said they would always open source the last model when a new one comes out. But now Grok 3 is out for a bit and 3.5 is coming. Was it an empty promise or will they open source Grok 2?

@Fynn Makes sense

bought Ṁ10 YES

@Fynn Is this for "all categories"?

@patrik Yes, https://openrouter.ai/rankings?view=month

For any new cool answers created (different from the ones listed, about something interesting and reasonably likely) about X or XAI I'll personally send 300 mana to the creator!

@patrik I'll send it to the 10 most interesting.

@patrik Do you mean creating a new market? Or commenting here? I have some ideas

@Fynn Adding answers within this market.

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