Will SpaceX land on the MOON before Dec 31st 2028? | Manifold

Will SpaceX land on the MOON before Dec 31st 2028?

Basic

12

Ṁ1706

2029

10%

chance

1D

1W

1M

ALL

The question will resolve to YES if it's a SUCCESSFUL crewed lunar landing performed by HLS.

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opened a Ṁ200 NO at 50% order

Is this by the end or the beginning of 2028?

@FlorisvanDoorn End of 2028 i.e Dec 31st 2028

Does the HLS demo count? Or do you only count crewed landings?

@Mqrius Just updated the description for resolution :)

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