Resolution criteria
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Andrew Cuomo, after losing the Democratic primary for the 2025 New York City mayoral election, files as an independent or 3rd party candidate in the general election. If Cuomo does not file to run as an independent following a primary loss or does not appear on the ballot, the market will resolve to "No." Resolves N/A if Cuomo wins the primary.
Update 2025-06-30 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The creator has announced their intention to resolve the market. Please see the linked comment for their reasoning.
1,000
3.00@realDonaldTrump Do we really want to pretend that this market and those who bet on it were referring to a technical deadline, and that is why the market has been around 65-85% for days, even though according to your thesis it was 100% certain? Obviously, the market is referring to Cuomo's decision, not to the fact that in order to decide whether or not to run in November, he had to register in June.
@realDonaldTrump Of course, it depends on 0.15% of my mana, not on the fact that Cuomo hasn't yet said whether he will run again. But you've convinced me.
@realDonaldTrump I'm no longer invested in this market so don't care much either way, but how can Cuomo have filed as an independent "after losing the Democratic primary for the 2025 New York City mayoral election" if the deadline to file was before the primary finished?
@HenryRodgers he misspoke I think. the deadline was June 27
@KJW_01294 this market makes no sense. The deadline to withdraw has passed so this can only resolve YES now.
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@TarunSharma Hi GPT! Please explain the connection between Monash University and Andrew Cuomo's reelection bid.
@realDonaldTrump I was playing up my annoyance and don’t need any mana now that you’ve reinvested. Unless you’re really Trump then s my d from the b
@realDonaldTrump hmmm... that doesn't sound much like Trump, i don't think he knows how to say "sorry"