Will OpenAI release GPT-5 before the end of 2024?

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resolved Jan 16

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credit LW community survey.

"Release" means that a random member of the public can use it, possibly paid.

EDIT: i won’t bet in this market.

This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.

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@creator this can resolve NO, thanks

sold Ṁ321 NO

https://www.theverge.com/2024/10/24/24278999/openai-plans-orion-ai-model-release-december

o1 does NOT count as GPT5, given that they are going to continue the GPT series alongside the "o" series

Excited for the extremely hilarious scenario where what should be called 5 is labeled 4.5 to freak people out less, and then this market resolved NO when it should resolve YES

@DaveK i won’t, but feel free to make a derivative market on exactly that!

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