Trump travels outside North America in 2025?
8
Ṁ1960
Dec 31
96%
chance

Geographically, North America is comprised of 23 sovereign countries and dependent territories:

Northern America

  1. Canada

  2. Mexico

  3. United States

Central America

  1. Belize

  2. Costa Rica

  3. El Salvador

  4. Guatemala

  5. Honduras

  6. Nicaragua

  7. Panama

The Caribbean Sea

  1. Antigua and Barbuda

  2. The Bahamas

  3. Barbados

  4. Cuba

  5. Dominica

  6. Dominican Republic

  7. Grenada

  8. Haiti

  9. Jamaica

  10. Saint Kitts and Nevis

  11. Saint Lucia

  12. Saint Vincent and the Grenadines

  13. Trinidad and Tobago

This market will resolve Yes when Trump travels to a country not on this list in 2025. Otherwise, resolves No.

Per wikipedia, Trump's 2025 travels at the time of market creation include:

Here are the number of visits per state or territory he traveled to:

I will consider the time zone for this market to be local time in Washington DC. Trump must physically arrive in a qualifying country before this market can resolve Yes - any flight en route will not be enough to resolve this market (on the chance that he is on his way somewhere but not yet landed at 23:59 on 31 December).

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