Starship Flight 10 successfully deploys a payload? | Manifold

Starship Flight 10 successfully deploys a payload?

8

Ṁ263

Dec 31

60%

chance

1D

1W

1M

ALL

Mass Sim / dummy payload counts. In the off-chance flight 10 isn't intended to attempt a payload deployment, this shifts to flight 11, 12, etc, until some flight is planned with a payload.

Update 2025-08-01 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): A suborbital payload deployment will count for a YES resolution, provided the deployment was intended.

This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.

#Starship Launch Party

#Commercial spaceflight

Get

1,000

and

3.00

Sort by:

Does it need to deploy to orbit? Or would a suborbital trajectory count (as was intended for the dummy starlinks on some of the past flights)?

@Nat suborbital counts, provided that it’s intended.

Related questions

When will Starship flight 10 happen?

When will Starship flight 12 happen?

Starship flight 10 soft touchdown?

When will Starship first launch with useful payload?

Will the Starship flight 10 ship be caught?

When will Starship flight 11 happen?

In which year will Starship first launch with 50 or more people on board?

What will happen successfully during Starship flight 11?

Will Starship have a 99% success rate as of its 500th payload-carrying launch?

What happens to Starship S37 (Starship flight 10)?

Related questions

When will Starship flight 10 happen?

When will Starship flight 11 happen?

When will Starship flight 12 happen?

In which year will Starship first launch with 50 or more people on board?

Starship flight 10 soft touchdown?

What will happen successfully during Starship flight 11?

When will Starship first launch with useful payload?

Will Starship have a 99% success rate as of its 500th payload-carrying launch?

Will the Starship flight 10 ship be caught?

What happens to Starship S37 (Starship flight 10)?

© Manifold Markets, Inc.•Terms + Mana-only Terms•Privacy•Rules