Resolves yes if I die, and then wake up after cryonic preservation before NYE 2999 (whether or not I die again after waking up). I need to be dead for at least 48h for it to count.
Resolves no if I am still dead by 3000.
If I’m still alive by the year 3k through other means this market also resolves yes. Similarly I’ll take a decently expansive definition of what counts as "myself", strict continuity isn’t required.
If mana becomes much more valuable in the future and someone manipulates this market into resolving No (eg. by sabotaging my corpse) this market resolves in whatever way causes them the most damage.
1,000
3.00What do you think about whole brain emulation as a revival method? Would you consider it to be survival, and would you authorize for this method to be used if it can be done safely and humanely in the future?
(I'm asking because it seems relevant when I try to make this probability estimate. However, if you'd rather not say, please of course do not do so, and you can also of course change your mind in the future.)