📆What will happen in 2025? [ADD RESPONSES]

Basic

Ṁ1933

2026

99%

Large Tech company announces layoffs

99%

new iphone releases

97%

Nintendo Direct airs

96%

Three or more teslas catch fire as reported by the Tesla-fire website (or multiple mainstream news)

95%

6 or more people die in a single shooting incident in the united states

91%

any country starts a new invasion of another country

86%

bitcoin reaches a new all time high

85%

Israel : Hamas Ceasefire

80%

Skate 4 Release

79%

USA government shutdown

78%

Skibidi Toilet ends their original series

74%

Taylor Swift drops a new album (not a Taylor’s Version of an older album actually majority new tracks)

69%

A famous global brand undergoes a rebranding

69%

Bitcoin closes higher on Festivus (Dec. 23, 2025) than it closed on Festivus (Dec. 23, 2024) [EST] ***

69%

destiny talks to joe rogan

69%

Dutch coalition resigns

67%

Taylor Swift becomes engaged to be married (to anyone)

65%

Russia : Ukraine ceasefire

59%

Trump or Biden are hospitalized for any period of time

58%

there is a need to replace an existing supreme court justice (dies/retires/etc) or they add another justice

I reserve the right to NA any answer for any reason, to combat duplicates or abuse.

This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.

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How do I add answers? I would like to add:

Nuclear weapons kill at least 100 people
A new global pandemic with severity comparable to COVID-19
China invades or blockades Taiwan
Overall decline in white-collar jobs
Inflation higher than in 2024
Civil unrest causes martial law in at least one US city

bought Ṁ60 YES

@strutheo Resolves YES.

https://apnews.com/article/trump-hotel-vehicle-fire-las-vegas-ad4c171c7a6af64f08db93d9fdc2d749

bought Ṁ5 YES

@strutheo it's day 1 of 2025, and a Tesla Cybertruck has already exploded

https://x.com/sentdefender/status/1874546195944615987?t=8KR5pPHnCdnOk7KVTg9qPQ&s=19

bought Ṁ75 NO

@strutheo Resolves NO, happened in 2024

@strutheo would a carnival qualify? (temporarily set up somewhere, then moved elsewhere)

@snazzlePop must be an established theme park!

@strutheo does total destruction or surrender of remaining Hamas forces, thus a ceasation of firing, count as ceasefire?

@TheAllMemeingEye i think we'll need to see what the world thinks at the time. hamas leadership is still floating around other countries too

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