Will Trump strip USA citizenship from at least one full citizen by the end of the year?
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resolved Jul 7
Resolved
YES

  • Update 2025-03-22 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Full Citizenship Definition:

    • Both naturalized and natural-born citizens are included as full citizens.

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lol polymarket did it, also used the term 'full', and havent resolved it yet

https://polymarket.com/event/trump-revokes-any-us-citizenship-by-december-31

@MachiNi totally bodied us on profit share

bought แน€500 YES

There are apparently several cases every year. Numbers have increased under Obama and then Trump I. The surprise would be if the number was zero in 2025.

@MachiNi I was surprised too didn't know it was this frequent

@strutheo cases filed, according to Claude (success rate information not publicly available):

The data shows a dramatic shift from the historical norm:

โ€ข Pre-2008: Extremely rare, averaging 1-6 cases per year

โ€ข Obama Era: Introduction of digital tools led to systematic review but restrained approach

โ€ข Trump Era: Massive escalation with 168 total cases and significant resource allocation

โ€ข Biden Era: Reduced but continued activity with 64 cases

โ€ข Trump Return: Renewed aggressive prioritization with expanded criteria

From 1990-2017, the DOJ filed 305 denaturalization cases, about 11 per year. The number has surged since President Trumpโ€™s first term ๏ปฟAxios๏ปฟ, representing a fundamental shift from denaturalization being used primarily against war criminals to a broader immigration enforcement tool.

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@MachiNi looks like it has been ordered but still pending afaik, should resolve soon

filled a แน€30 YES at 99.0% order

@MachiNi wow I just went from "that would be insane I'm not sure even Trump would go that far" to "oh okay, makes sense that that would happen sometimes, i hope Trump doesn't do it when it's not called for"

What do you mean by "full citizen"? Naturalized? Or just natural-born?

@Marnix both

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