On January 15, 2025, Israel and Hamas agreed to a ceasefire deal set to begin January 19, with Netanyahu's government facing a critical cabinet vote and implementation period. This market tracks whether Netanyahu will remain Prime Minister through the initial phase of this ceasefire agreement, resolving based on his status as PM through January 31, 2025.

Resolution Criteria:

- Resolves YES if:

* Netanyahu remains Prime Minister through 23:59 UTC January 31, 2025

* His position is confirmed by official Israeli government sources

- Resolves NO if any of these occur before 23:59 UTC January 31, 2025:

* Netanyahu resigns

* Netanyahu loses a no-confidence vote

* The Knesset dissolves

* Netanyahu is temporarily or permanently incapacitated and powers transfer to another official

* Any other event that results in Netanyahu no longer being Prime Minister

- Resolution will be based on:

* Official announcements from the Israeli Prime Minister's Office

* Official Knesset records

* If those conflict, the Knesset records take precedence