Will the SCOTUS expect the US government to refund the tariffs?
8
Ṁ258Jan 1
18%
No, because SCOTUS rules them to be constitutional
45%
No, even though SCOTUS ruled them to be unconstitutional
32%
Partially
5%
Yes, entirely or as much as possible
Based on SCOTUS' official ruling in the Learning Resources v. Trump and Trump v. V.O.S. Selections, Inc. case.
In case of ambiguity, I will follow the consensus interpretation of authoritative newspapers (NY Times, Bloomberg News, etc.) or resolve N/A if there is not one.
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Related market regarding the constitutionality instead of the consequences: https://manifold.markets/Mad2live/how-will-the-scotus-rules-on-trumps
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