How many Supreme Court justices will vote that Trump's birthright citizenship executive order is unconstitutional? | Manifold

How many Supreme Court justices will vote that Trump's birthright citizenship executive order is unconstitutional?

Plus

49

Ṁ4379

2029

45%

9

20%

8

16%

7

6%

6

3%

5

10%

4 or fewer

Refers to the first such case the US Supreme Court rules on in Trump's second term. If no such case is ruled on during Trump's first term, resolves to "4 or fewer".

If the decision involves multiple votes with different outcomes, any justice who votes that the order is unconstitutional at least once will be counted. E.g. if there are two different 6-3 votes and the majority changes by one justice between them, this market resolves to "7".

This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.

#Trump's Second Term

#Republican Party

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1,000

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How does this resolve if some aspects are found to be unconstitutional but others are not?

The rules are intended to cover that case. If 6 justices find that section blorb is unconstitutional then the bracket the market resolves to will be at least 6.

Nitpicking: I think you should explicitly state this is about the Federal Supreme Court. Some states (eg California) also have supreme courts with "justices"

Done.

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