Invalid contract
Update 2025-05-25 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The market will resolve to N/A if the following conditions are met:
Grok 3.5 is released.
AND at the time of Grok 3.5's release, there is no indication that Grok 3.0 Thinking is forthcoming.
@Bayesian how will this question be resolved? The next model will likely be 3.5 and I don't think we will get Grok 3 Thinking
why is april not near 0? are we assuming it might actually have been released as grok 3.1 already (per https://x.com/testingcatalog/status/1920806273324331055)?
@outsideness it's a bit cursed bc it's probable that they're just rebranding grok 3 to grok 3.5 bc of further post training but i think the intent is for jan 2026 to be "jan 2026 or later / never"? I'm not sure
@outsideness Bad idea, i said im not sure. Either it’s that or I N/A the market due to the ambiguity.
@Bayesian well, I think it's how these new date markets are meant to work, just like other numeric markets work