π’β In what countries will mass public protests start in 2025?
Plus
14
αΉ792Feb 10
82%
France
81%
Romania
71%
South Korea
44%
United States
42%
Israel
36%
India
32%
Canada
30%
China
30%
Iran
24%
Pakistan
24%
Bolivia
22%
Philippines
22%
Bangladesh
8%
Russia
6%
Italy
Resolved monthly throughout 2025 based on updates to the Carnegie Endowment Protest Tracker:
https://carnegieendowment.org/features/global-protest-tracker?lang=en
Itβs impossible to predict exactly when the tracker will be updated, so this market may close early or be extended a few times mid month.
Resolves YES if there is a protest of >10,000 participants. NO if the country makes it to the end of 2025 with no protests that large.
Once resolved, countries canβt be re-added until the active protest is finished (too confusing otherwise). Countries only. Non-countries resolved as NA.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Related questions
Related questions
Major Election Riots in 2024-2025?
3% chance
π’β In what countries will mass public protests start in 2024?
Will there be a major spike in protests in the US in 2025 (comparable to the 2020 George Floyd protests)?
58% chance
Will there be large-scale rioting in the US before 2026?
22% chance
πWhat will happen in 2025? [ADD RESPONSES]
Will there be an Arab Spring-style wave of political unrest in the Middle East? [2025]
35% chance
Will there be major social unrest in the USA by July 2025?
28% chance
Will there be an AI rights protest in the US with more than 1000 protesters before 2026?
29% chance
Will the UK experience major riots in 2025, on a similar scale to those experienced in 2024?
33% chance
Will there be significant protests calling for AI rights before 2030?
42% chance