Israeli security cabinet approves ceasefire and hostage deal

The Israeli security cabinet on Friday approved the Gaza ceasefire and hostage deal announced in Qatar on Wednesday, the Prime Minister’s Office said in a statement.

The 11 voting members of the security cabinet approved the deal with a simple majority vote.

The full, 33-member Israeli cabinet still needs to approve the agreement. That meeting is set to take place at 3:30 p.m. local (8:30 a.m. ET).

Israel's Cabinet will meet tomorrow to vote on the ceasefire and hostage release deal with Hamas, after claiming a delay was due to Hamas creating a “last-minute crisis.” Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu’s office did not elaborate on what the issue was. (NBC News)

Netanyahu delays cabinet vote on Israel-Gaza ceasefire deal and hostage release (Washington Post) 37 min ago

• An Israeli cabinet meeting to approve a ceasefire and hostage deal with Hamas was delayed Thursday morning, after Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu accused the militant group of “reneging” on parts of the agreement.

• Netanyahu’s office said the cabinet would not convene until Hamas accepted all elements of the deal. A Hamas official said on social media that the group is committed to the agreement announced Wednesday. Neither provided any further details.

@EBSnyder Uh how does this resolve if it breaks down after the first stage? Is a first round ceasefire a "call to terminate ALL hostilities"? What does "last 10 days" mean? If a single rocket is fired does the counter reset? If the rocket is from Hamas? What if it's from a non-Hamas group like PIJ?

@nathanwei

• "call to terminate ALL hostilities"?

  • As Defined In The Agreement

• "last 10 days"

  • This is market specific to resolve YES, it does not matter as to what "phase" or "stage" the ceasefire is in as long is it meets the description to initiate the start of the count to 10 days. If it lasts 10 days Minimum than it will qualify to resolve YES.

• If a single rocket is fired does the counter reset?

  • As Defined In The Agreement

• If the rocket is from Hamas?

  • This market is not specific on who breaks it if it is broken. It can be by either side or an outside party if Israel and/or Hamas issue statements that legitimately break the ceasefire

• What if it's from a non-Hamas group like PIJ?

  • As Defined In The Agreement or Deferred To Israel nd/or Hamas Statements (Also See Above Statement)

The above clarification and statement was added to the market.

@EBSnyder

If a single rocket is fired does the counter reset?

• As Defined In The Agreement

Which "Agreement"? The agreement that's signed by Israel+Hamas is unlikely to have the concept of a counter or a specific clause about a single rocket being fired. And I don't see a part of the market description that is labeled "The Agreement". Could you point me toward the agreement you're talking about, or clarify which document will become "The Agreement" in the future?

@Jwags

• "The Agreement" = Israel & Hamas Ceasefire Agreement.

• As stated in the clarification regarding any attack: It can be by either side or an outside party if Israel and/or Hamas issue statements that legitimately break the ceasefire

The full updated document should be available in whole soon but is similar to the May 2024 Proposal (it may contain incorrect information relevant to current proposal so do not use this is official use)

I will add the following to the statment of "deferred to Israel/Hamas statements" to include "defferred to Israel/Hamas statements confirmed by official government statement from Guarantors of the agreement"

Ceasefire agreement will go into effect on Sunday, Qatari PM says

From CNN’s Mostafa Salem and Becky Anderson

Qatari Prime Minister Mohammed bin Abdulrahman Al Thani said mediators expect the ceasefire agreement between Israel and Hamas to go into effect on Sunday, January 19.

Speaking at a news conference in the Qatari capital Doha, the prime minister thanked US President Joe Biden’s envoy Brett McGurk and incoming President Donald Trump’s envoy Steve Witkoff, who was in the room as the prime minister spoke.

Qatari PM confirms Israel and Hamas have agreed to Gaza ceasefire and hostage deal

From CNN's Mostafa Salem in Abu Dhabi

Qatar’s prime minister on Wednesday officially confirmed that the Israeli government and Hamas have agreed to a ceasefire and hostage deal.

“Qatar, Egypt and the United States are glad to declare the success of joint mediation efforts after warring parties in Gaza reached an agreement to exchange prisoners and hostages,” Mohammed bin Abdulrahman bin Jassim Al Thani, who also serves as Qatar’s foreign minister, told journalists in Doha.

• Hamas told Al Jazeera that the group’s delegation delivered its approval of a ceasefire and prisoner exchange agreement to mediators.

• The office of Israeli Prime Minister Netanyahu says a ceasefire deal in Gaza has not been finalized but suggests final details could be resolved in the coming hours.

• Three phases

  The proposed agreement would take place over three stages, the Reuters news agency reported, quoting an official briefed on the talks. In an initial six-week phase, Israeli forces would gradually withdraw from central Gaza and Palestinians would be allowed to return to their homes in northern Gaza.

  Hamas would release 33 Israeli captives over those six weeks, including all female soldiers and civilians, children and men over 50, Reuters reported. Israel would release 30 Palestinian prisoners for each civilian captive released and 50 Palestinian prisoners for every Israeli soldier.

  • Talks on the second phase would begin by the 16th day of the first phase, and are expected to include the release of the remaining captives and the full withdrawal of Israeli forces from Gaza.

  • A third phase was expected to include the return of dead bodies and the start of reconstruction in Gaza, Reuters reported.

  (THIS IS NOT FINAL AND MAY CONTAIN ERRORS)

Israel and Hamas agree to Gaza ceasefire and hostage deal, source says

The Israeli government and Hamas have agreed to a deal that will pause fighting in Gaza and lead to the phased release of hostages and Palestinian prisoners, a source briefed on the talks tells CNN.

Under the deal, which is yet to be formally announced, Hamas and its allied militant groups are expected to release 33 hostages seized from Israel during the attacks of October 7, 2023.

In return, Israel will free hundreds of Palestinian prisoners.

The agreement would deliver the first reprieve from war for the people of Gaza in more than a year, and only the second since the Israeli bombardment began.

Once confirmed, it is expected that the deal will allow Palestinian civilians to return to northern Gaza and there would be a massive influx of humanitarian aid into the strip, where residents have long faced dire humanitarian conditions.

I think 10 days as “lasting” is misleading given the negotiations will last longer than that… but at least there are clear resolution criteria in this market.

Hamas says ceasefire-hostage agreement with Israel is in "final stages"

From CNN's Abeer Salman

Talks with Israel to reach a ceasefire-hostage agreement in Gaza have reached their “final stages,” Hamas said in a statement on Tuesday, adding that it hoped the latest round of negotiations will conclude with “a clear and comprehensive agreement.”

Hamas also said it had informed Palestinian factions about the progress made talks and that the leaders of the factions were satisfied with the developments.

“The leadership of the movement and the various factions emphasized the continuation of communication and consultation,” Hamas said.

Hamas and Israel ‘are talking seriously’ about a hostage-ceasefire deal in Gaza, source says

White House believes Lebanon truce will put pressure on Hamas to negotiate for Gaza ceasefire, official says

From CNN's Sam Fossum

Israel said to agree in principle to Lebanon ceasefire offer, though some issues remain

(Its Not Hamas, But Shows A Ceasefire May Be Possible)

I predict that Hamas will not exist as an entity capable of making agreements.